Identification and Control of Game-Based Epidemic Models

The effectiveness of control measures against the diffusion COVID-19 pandemic is grounded on assumption that people are prepared and disposed to cooperate. From a strategic decision point view, cooperation unreachable strategy Prisoner’s Dilemma game, where temptation exploit others fear being betrayed by them drives people’s behavior, which eventually results in fully defective outcome. In this work, we integrate standard epidemic model with replicator equation evolutionary games order study interplay between infection spreading propensity be cooperative under pressure epidemic. developed shows high performance fitting real measurements infected, recovered dead during whole period spread, from March 2020 September 2021 Italy. estimated parameters related result significantly correlated vaccination screening data, thus validating model. stability analysis multiple steady states present proposed highlights possibility tune fundamental dramatically reduce number potential respect non-controlled case.